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Brian Thomas Jr. or Justin Herbert: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 3:06 PM ET

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Justin Herbert, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.

WR45 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
4.3 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

QB26 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 1-4

Overall rank
132
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

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The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size198 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

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Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justin Herbert: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 23; 2QB: ADP 12.

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 118th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Herbert is 13.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justin Herbert's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Justin Herbert has been on the field for 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 175 times and thrown 8.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 175 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 3 against BUF he completed 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against SEA he completed 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 6 times for 40 yards.

In Week 5 against DEN he completed 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 6 times for 54 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Herbert played 16 games and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He threw for 3727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 32.0 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Justin Herbert scored 18.7 PPR points a game and Brian Thomas Jr. 9.9, 8.8 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 and Justin Herbert QB10, which are two different ladders.

Brian Thomas Jr. is a wide receiver and Justin Herbert a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Justin Herbert is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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