Mike Evans or Chuba Hubbard: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Mike Evans's market-based projection is 17.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Chuba Hubbard's market-based projection is 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Mike Evans: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chuba Hubbard: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Mike Evans has been on the field for 58 percent of SF snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 13.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against ARI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 34 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 5 of 8 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SEA he caught 7 of 10 targets for 113 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Chuba Hubbard has been on the field for 77 percent of CAR snaps, taken 66 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have come 1.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against ATL he carried 12 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CLE he carried 19 times for 82 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he carried 20 times for 122 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Mike Evans played 8 games and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 7.6 targets a game, a 49 percent catch rate and 12.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chuba Hubbard played 15 games and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He carried 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 more yards.

That came to 8.9 carries a game at 3.8 yards a carry and 2.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chuba Hubbard was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Mike Evans scored 10.6 PPR points a game and Chuba Hubbard 8.4, 2.2 a game between them.

Mike Evans finished WR76 and Chuba Hubbard RB38, which are two different ladders.

Mike Evans is a wide receiver and Chuba Hubbard a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Mike Evans is off in Week 8 and Chuba Hubbard in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.