Dalton Kincaid or Tony Pollard: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 11.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 156 players with a market-based projection.

Tony Pollard's market-based projection is 10.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 156 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dalton Kincaid: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tony Pollard: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 44th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 67 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 52 percent of TEN snaps, taken 63 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 42 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 6 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 2.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against NYG he carried 17 times for 74 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 16 times for 48 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 2 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 14 times for 52 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tony Pollard was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Tony Pollard scored 10.9 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 0.4 a game between them.

Dalton Kincaid finished TE20 and Tony Pollard RB23, which are two different ladders.

Dalton Kincaid is a tight end and Tony Pollard a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Dalton Kincaid is off in Week 7 and Tony Pollard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.