Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Baker Mayfield at 15.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 36th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

The player markets price Malik Willis at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 50th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Baker Mayfield: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 43.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Malik Willis: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 90.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 76 times and thrown 9.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 76 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

Through Week 2, Malik Willis has been on the field for 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 65 times and thrown 9.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 14 of 65 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against LV he completed 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 6 times for 39 yards.

In Week 2 against SF he completed 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Malik Willis played 4 games and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He threw for 422 yards on 35 attempts with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 8.8 attempts a game at 12.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 13 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Malik Willis 12.8, 3.8 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 that year and Malik Willis QB45.

Baker Mayfield had 508 more pass attempts than Malik Willis, 543 to 35.

Baker Mayfield had 3271 more passing yards than Malik Willis, 3693 to 422.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Malik Willis in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.4 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.