Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Justice Hill? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill
Wrong: 2.3 to 3.8- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 2.3
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.1
- fantasy pts
- IND D vs RB
- 39.1
- 3rd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill in Week 1.
Justice Hill is priced by the books at 1.1 projected points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 177 and Justice Hill at 183.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.1 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Justice Hill and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
IND allowed 39.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 162 yards and 3 touchdowns against IND and caught passes for 29 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Justice Hill was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Justice Hill scored 3.8.
The call was wrong: Justice Hill outscored Chris Rodriguez Jr. by 1.5.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.
Justice Hill finished 2.7 points above the 1.1 the props implied.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
Justice Hill finished as the week's RB51 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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