Start Dylan Sampson or Justice Hill? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill
Wrong: 0.0 to 3.8- JAX D vs RB
- 12.6
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.1
- fantasy pts
- IND D vs RB
- 39.1
- 3rd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Dylan Sampson over Justice Hill in Week 1.
Justice Hill is priced by the books at 1.1 projected points and Dylan Sampson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 182 and Justice Hill at 183.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Dylan Sampson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.1 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Dylan Sampson and CLE visit JAX.
JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.
Justice Hill and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
IND allowed 39.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 162 yards and 3 touchdowns against IND and caught passes for 29 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Dylan Sampson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Justice Hill was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.
He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.
He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.
Dylan Sampson, Week 17 of 2025 against PIT: 18 of 52 snaps, 11 carries for 27 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 0 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Dylan Sampson scored 0.0 PPR points and Justice Hill scored 3.8.
The call was wrong: Justice Hill outscored Dylan Sampson by 3.8.
Dylan Sampson, Week 1 against JAX: 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Justice Hill finished 2.7 points above the 1.1 the props implied.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
Justice Hill finished as the week's RB51 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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