Start Keaton Mitchell or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Keaton Mitchell over Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Wrong: 0.9 to 2.3
- Books implied
- 2.8
- pre-game
- ARI D vs RB
- 9.2
- 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 31%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.9
- PPR pts
- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 2.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Keaton Mitchell over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 1.
Keaton Mitchell is priced by the books at 2.8 projected points. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Keaton Mitchell at ADP 166 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 165. Market coverage on Keaton Mitchell is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Keaton Mitchell was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.
He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9 PPR points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3.
The call was wrong: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Keaton Mitchell by 1.4.
Keaton Mitchell finished 1.9 points below the 2.8 the props implied.
Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.
Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB42 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 1-12
- Overall rank
- 142
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
Ranked behind
RB45 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 148
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board6
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 9 and tier 10
- Board size242 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant