Start Tank Bigsby or Justice Hill? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Justice Hill over Tank Bigsby
Right: 3.8 to 0.3- Books imply
- 4.7
- fantasy pts
- IND D vs RB
- 39.1
- 3rd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.8
- PPR pts
- WAS D vs RB
- 11.5
- 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 11%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Justice Hill over Tank Bigsby in Week 1.
Justice Hill is priced by the books at 4.7 projected points. Tank Bigsby has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Justice Hill at ADP 202 and Tank Bigsby at 197.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Tank Bigsby in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 4.7 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS.
WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.
Justice Hill and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
IND allowed 39.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 162 yards and 3 touchdowns against IND and caught passes for 29 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Justice Hill was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.
He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.
He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Justice Hill scored 3.8 PPR points and Tank Bigsby scored 0.3.
The call was right: Justice Hill outscored Tank Bigsby by 3.5.
Justice Hill finished 0.9 points below the 4.7 the props implied.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
Justice Hill finished as the week's RB51 in PPR scoring.
Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant