Start Tank Bigsby or Kaelon Black? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tank Bigsby over Kaelon Black
Wrong: 0.3 to 8.0
- Books imply
- 2.2
- fantasy pts
- WAS D vs RB
- 11.5
- 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 11%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.3
- PPR pts
- LAR D vs RB
- 21.8
- 14th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tank Bigsby over Kaelon Black in Week 1.
Tank Bigsby is priced by the books at 2.2 projected points. Kaelon Black has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tank Bigsby at ADP 182 and Kaelon Black at 193. Market coverage on Tank Bigsby is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Tank Bigsby, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Kaelon Black in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.
Kaelon Black and SF visit LAR.
LAR allowed 21.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 14th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 133 yards and no touchdowns against LAR and caught passes for 25 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Kaelon Black has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Kaelon Black was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.
He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.
He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tank Bigsby scored 0.3 PPR points and Kaelon Black scored 8.0.
The call was wrong: Kaelon Black outscored Tank Bigsby by 7.7.
Tank Bigsby finished 1.9 points below the 2.2 the props implied.
Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.
Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.
Kaelon Black, Week 1 against LAR: 28 of 65 snaps, 14 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
Kaelon Black finished as the week's RB35 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB47 · PHI · bye 10
2025 vs anytime td line 2-14
- Overall rank
- 177
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB57 · SF · bye 8
- Overall rank
- 231
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board54
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 12
- Board size244 draftable players
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