Start Keaton Mitchell or Tank Bigsby? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over Tank Bigsby in Week 1.

Tank Bigsby is priced by the books at 2.2 projected points and Keaton Mitchell is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Keaton Mitchell at ADP 171 and Tank Bigsby at 182.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Keaton Mitchell in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Tank Bigsby, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Keaton Mitchell and LAC host ARI.

ARI allowed 9.2 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 52 yards and a touchdown against ARI and caught passes for 0 more yards.

Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tank Bigsby has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 2 carries for 2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.2 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 14 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 5.8 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 16 of 2025 against NE: 19 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.

He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Keaton Mitchell scored 0.9 PPR points and Tank Bigsby scored 0.3.

The call was right: Keaton Mitchell outscored Tank Bigsby by 0.6.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

Keaton Mitchell finished as the week's RB69 in PPR scoring.

Tank Bigsby finished 1.9 points below the 2.2 the props implied.

Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Alvin Kamara over Keaton Mitchell.
• Start Keaton Mitchell over Braelon Allen.
• Start Keaton Mitchell over Brian Robinson.
• Start Braelon Allen over Tank Bigsby.
• Start Tank Bigsby over Brian Robinson.
• Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tank Bigsby.