Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Kyler Murray in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Kyler Murray: Questionable to Out (Hamstring, Soreness) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Vikings to start QB Carson Wentz against Bills with Kyler Murray ruled out (ESPN)
Week 10 verdict
Start Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- ATL D vs QB
- 15.9
- 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 16.9
- recent weeks avg
- GB D vs QB
- 13.9
- 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Through Week 8
Start Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray in Week 10: 18.0 to 16.9 PPR points a game over recent weeks. Murray faces GB, which allows the 6th fewest fantasy points to QBs. Mahomes is listed questionable.
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed out. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB20 · KC · bye 5
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 21.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 145
QB22 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs pass yds line 2-4
- Market-based projection
- 15.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 152
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 152nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Patrick Mahomes's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and thrown 5.6 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 49 of 289 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.
In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.
In Week 8 against DEN he completed 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 6 yards.
In Week 9 against NYJ he completed 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.
Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.
In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.
In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.
In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.
He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Patrick Mahomes was available for 9 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Kyler Murray 16.2, 5.0 a game between them.
Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 that year and Kyler Murray QB38.
Patrick Mahomes had 341 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 502 to 161.
Patrick Mahomes had 2625 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 3587 to 962.
This season Patrick Mahomes holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 86 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.
Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable on the injury report.
Kyler Murray is listed as out on the injury report.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed out. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Kyler Murray?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games) and Kyler Murray 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable. Kyler Murray is listed out.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 10?
- Is Kyler Murray playing Week 10?
- Chiefs depth chart
- Vikings depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings
