Start T.J. Hockenson or Terrance Ferguson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start T.J. Hockenson over Terrance Ferguson
Right: 13.6 to 0.0- GB D vs TE
- 17.8
- 8th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 13.6
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.3
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs TE
- 5.1
- 4th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 51%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start T.J. Hockenson over Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.
Terrance Ferguson is priced by the books at 1.3 projected points and T.J. Hockenson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take T.J. Hockenson at ADP 194 and Terrance Ferguson at 206.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for T.J. Hockenson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.3 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
T.J. Hockenson and MIN host GB.
GB allowed 17.8 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 58 yards and a touchdown against GB.
Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.
By points allowed to the position, T.J. Hockenson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
T.J. Hockenson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Terrance Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.
He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 46 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.2 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 44 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 66 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.
He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
T.J. Hockenson scored 13.6 PPR points and Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0.
The call was right: T.J. Hockenson outscored Terrance Ferguson by 13.6.
T.J. Hockenson, Week 1 against GB: 43 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.6 PPR points.
T.J. Hockenson finished as the week's TE9 in PPR scoring.
Terrance Ferguson finished 1.3 points below the 1.3 the props implied.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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