Darren Waller or Evan Engram: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 6.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 104th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Evan Engram's market-based projection is 5.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 110th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Darren Waller: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Evan Engram: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 3 of 3 targets for 33 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 5 of 8 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Evan Engram has been on the field for 58 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have averaged 5.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against LAR he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Evan Engram played 16 games and scored 102.8 PPR points, 6.4 a game, finishing TE29.

He caught 50 of 76 targets for 461 yards and 1 touchdown, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 4.8 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 42 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Evan Engram was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Evan Engram 6.4, 3.4 a game between them.

Darren Waller finished TE33 that year and Evan Engram TE29.

Evan Engram had 42 more targets than Darren Waller, 76 to 34.

Evan Engram had 178 more receiving yards than Darren Waller, 461 to 283.

This season Evan Engram holds the bigger snap share, 58 percent against 46 percent.

This season Darren Waller holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 12 percent.

What would change the answer

1.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.