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Patrick Mahomes or Jake Ferguson: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Patrick Mahomes, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.

QB12 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
86
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

TE12 · DAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
7.9 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size189 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

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Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Patrick Mahomes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 17.2 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 81st highest figure of the 146 players with a market-based projection.

Patrick Mahomes's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 142 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 142 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against IND he completed 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 5, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 72 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 10.1 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5. No bye is listed for Jake Ferguson.

What would change the answer

Patrick Mahomes is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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