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Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Bo Nix in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
17.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs QB
17.3
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
15.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
16.6
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Start Lawrence or Nix? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Should I drop Bo Nix for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB5 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
17.2 pts a game

QB18 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 3-5

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
125

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 9th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 17.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 4th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Bo Nix's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 219 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Bo Nix 18.6, 2.0 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Bo Nix QB7.

Bo Nix had 52 more pass attempts than Trevor Lawrence, 612 to 560.

Trevor Lawrence had 76 more passing yards than Bo Nix, 4007 to 3931.

This season Bo Nix holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Bo Nix in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Bo Nix has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Trevor Lawrence?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Bo Nix?

    No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.

Should I drop Bo Nix?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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