Should I start Brock Purdy or Trevor Lawrence in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Brock Purdy's market-based projection is 21.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 6th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 17.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brock Purdy, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Brock Purdy has been on the field for 98 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 231 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 231 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 5 against SEA he completed 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against WAS he completed 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 28 yards.

In Week 7 against ATL he completed 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 95 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 219 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brock Purdy played 9 games and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He threw for 2167 yards on 284 attempts with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 31.6 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brock Purdy scored 20.8 PPR points a game and Trevor Lawrence 20.6, 0.2 a game between them.

Brock Purdy finished QB24 that year and Trevor Lawrence QB4.

Trevor Lawrence had 276 more pass attempts than Brock Purdy, 560 to 284.

Trevor Lawrence had 1840 more passing yards than Brock Purdy, 4007 to 2167.

This season Brock Purdy holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 95 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Brock Purdy is off in Week 8 and Trevor Lawrence in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

4.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.