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Start Michael Penix Jr. or Lamar Jackson? Week 6

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Lamar Jackson over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

Lamar Jackson

QB · Questionable

Market projects
20.2
recent weeks avg
Snap share
88%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.8
fantasy pts

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Our Week 6 call

Start Lamar Jackson over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Lamar Jackson at 20.2 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 16.8, a gap of 3.4. Michael Penix Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Lamar Jackson this week yet, so his 20.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3 and 4 (21.4 and 19.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

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What the market projects

No Week 6 player market is posted for Lamar Jackson yet. His market-based projections were 21.4 and 19.0 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 20.2, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 237 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13 and 12 market sources).

That puts Lamar Jackson 3.4 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Injury status

Lamar Jackson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 4, Lamar Jackson played 88 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 10.4 air yards per attempt.

Lamar Jackson, Week 1 against IND: 68 of 68 snaps, 17 of 24 passes for 324 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 43 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 2 against NO: 58 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 34 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 3 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 50 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 4 against TEN: 33 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Lamar Jackson played 13 games for BAL and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He completed 192 of 302 passes for 2549 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 67 times for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB11 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Overall rank
84
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

QB28 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
158
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board74
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 6
  • Board size198 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board