Alvin Kamara or Kenny Gainwell: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Alvin Kamara's market-based projection is 8.1 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 99th highest figure of the 180 players with a market-based projection.

Kenny Gainwell's market-based projection is 6.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 180 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Alvin Kamara: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kenny Gainwell: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Alvin Kamara has been on the field for 32 percent of NO snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 2 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have come 0.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against LV he carried 9 times for 36 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against ATL he carried 7 times for 23 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 35 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against MIN he carried 3 times for 12 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for -6 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Kenny Gainwell has been on the field for 41 percent of TB snaps, taken 13 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against MIN he carried 3 times for -4 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he carried 3 times for 5 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DAL he carried 4 times for 18 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Alvin Kamara played 11 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He carried 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 more yards.

That came to 11.9 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 3.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell played 17 games and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He carried 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 more yards.

That came to 6.7 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 4.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kenny Gainwell was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell scored 13.1 PPR points a game and Alvin Kamara 9.2, 3.9 a game between them.

Alvin Kamara finished RB46 that year and Kenny Gainwell RB16.

Alvin Kamara had 17 more carries than Kenny Gainwell, 131 to 114.

Kenny Gainwell had 40 more catches than Alvin Kamara, 73 to 33.

This season Kenny Gainwell holds the bigger snap share, 41 percent against 32 percent.

This season Alvin Kamara holds the bigger share of the carries, 31 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Kenny Gainwell is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for Alvin Kamara.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.