Bo Melton or Brian Thomas Jr.: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Bo Melton's market-based projection is 4.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 122nd highest figure of the 161 players with a market-based projection.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 124th highest figure of the 161 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Bo Melton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Bo Melton has been on the field for 25 percent of GB snaps, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 10.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against ATL he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TB he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Melton played 16 games and scored 24.2 PPR points, 1.5 a game, finishing WR146.

He caught 4 of 13 targets for 107 yards and 1 touchdown, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 0.8 targets a game, a 31 percent catch rate and 26.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 9 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Melton was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Bo Melton 1.5, 8.4 a game between them.

Bo Melton finished WR146 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 78 more targets than Bo Melton, 91 to 13.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 600 more receiving yards than Bo Melton, 707 to 107.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 48 percent against 25 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 4 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Bo Melton.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.