Brian Thomas Jr. or Jalen Brooks: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 122nd highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

Jalen Brooks's market-based projection is 3.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 128th highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 133rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen Brooks: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 138th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Jalen Brooks has been on the field for 15 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 14.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NYG he was not given the ball.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 2 of 7 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Brooks played 6 games and scored 6.1 PPR points, 1.0 a game.

He caught 3 of 6 targets for 51 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 1.0 targets a game, a 50 percent catch rate and 17.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 32 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr. was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Jalen Brooks 1.0, 8.9 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 85 more targets than Jalen Brooks, 91 to 6.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 656 more receiving yards than Jalen Brooks, 707 to 51.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 48 percent against 15 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 4 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Jalen Brooks.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.