CeeDee Lamb or Tetairoa McMillan: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

CeeDee Lamb's market-based projection is 17.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 15th highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on CeeDee Lamb: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 16th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, CeeDee Lamb has been on the field for 77 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 14 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 3 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 112 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against HOU he carried 1 time for -6 yards, caught 17 of 21 targets for 189 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 2 of 5 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 87 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 CeeDee Lamb played 14 games and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 CeeDee Lamb scored 14.4 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 1.9 a game between them.

CeeDee Lamb finished WR22 that year and Tetairoa McMillan WR16.

Tetairoa McMillan had 5 more targets than CeeDee Lamb, 122 to 117.

CeeDee Lamb had 63 more receiving yards than Tetairoa McMillan, 1077 to 1014.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 77 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 27 percent each.

Byes and availability

CeeDee Lamb is off in Week 14 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.