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Tetairoa McMillan or Matthew Stafford: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 14, 7:51 PM ET.

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Matthew Stafford, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

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WR12 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

QB2 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Overall rank
32
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size200 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 23.2 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Matthew Stafford's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 87 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 5, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 224 times and thrown 8.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 224 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 3 against DEN he completed 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 13 yards.

In Week 4 against PHI he completed 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 11 yards.

In Week 5 against BUF he completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 8.6 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 and Matthew Stafford QB3, which are two different ladders.

Tetairoa McMillan is a wide receiver and Matthew Stafford a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Matthew Stafford is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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