Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or George Pickens in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : George Pickens: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : George Pickens: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Tetairoa McMillan: 80 percent of the snaps and 23 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against George Pickens's 69 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop George Pickens for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), George Pickens 98 (14.0 a game over 7 games). George Pickens is listed out.
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
WR20 · CAR · bye 5
2026 vs anytime td line 2-6
- Market-based projection
- 13.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 62
WR24 · DAL · bye 14
2026 vs anytime td line 2-6
- Market-based projection
- 10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 66
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on George Pickens, and the board ranks him 66th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for George Pickens is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Tetairoa McMillan's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.
His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.
In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Through Week 8, George Pickens has been on the field for 78 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 23 of the offence's 69 third down targets, had 3 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 50 two minute targets.
His 62 targets have averaged 11.6 air yards.
In Week 6 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against PHI he caught 4 of 6 targets for 57 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 8 against ARI he caught 2 of 4 targets for 48 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.
He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.
That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 George Pickens played 17 games and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.
He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.
That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 15.4 yards a catch.
He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 George Pickens scored 17.2 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 4.7 a game between them.
Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and George Pickens WR5.
George Pickens had 15 more targets than Tetairoa McMillan, 137 to 122.
George Pickens had 415 more receiving yards than Tetairoa McMillan, 1429 to 1014.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 78 percent.
This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 21 percent.
Byes and availability
Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and George Pickens in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.
George Pickens is listed as out on the injury report.
Drop or keep
Should I drop George Pickens for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), George Pickens 98 (14.0 a game over 7 games). George Pickens is listed out.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for George Pickens?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 8 games), George Pickens 98 (14.0 a game over 7 games). George Pickens is listed out.
Should I drop George Pickens?Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan?
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Tetairoa McMillan playing Week 10?
- Is George Pickens playing Week 10?
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