Tetairoa McMillan or Matthew Golden: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Matthew Golden's market-based projection is 14.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 53rd highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tetairoa McMillan: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 33rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Golden: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 38th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 87 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 5, Matthew Golden has been on the field for 83 percent of GB snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 1 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 14.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against ATL he caught 5 of 12 targets for 100 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 3 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 123 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Golden played 14 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.

He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and Matthew Golden 5.0, 7.4 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Matthew Golden WR89.

Tetairoa McMillan had 78 more targets than Matthew Golden, 122 to 44.

Tetairoa McMillan had 653 more receiving yards than Matthew Golden, 1014 to 361.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 83 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 24 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and Matthew Golden in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.