Trevor Lawrence or Michael Mayer: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 28th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Michael Mayer's market-based projection is 7.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 102nd highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 103rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Mayer: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 157 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 29 of 157 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

Through Week 5, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 82 percent of LV snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 4.7 air yards.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against KC he caught 8 of 10 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Michael Mayer 5.7, 14.9 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 and Michael Mayer TE38, which are two different ladders.

Trevor Lawrence is a quarterback and Michael Mayer a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Michael Mayer.

What would change the answer

9.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.