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Tyler Allgeier or Trevor Lawrence: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 15, 10:46 PM ET.

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Tyler Allgeier, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

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RB31 · ARI · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-3

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

QB14 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Market-based projection
16.4 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size226 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Allgeier: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 7.7 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 32nd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 50 percent of ARI snaps, taken 29 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 2 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have come 2.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against SF he carried 2 times for -1 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NYG he carried 8 times for 42 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 157 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 29 of 157 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 13.4 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 and Trevor Lawrence QB4, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Allgeier is a running back and Trevor Lawrence a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Tyler Allgeier.

What would change the answer

Tyler Allgeier is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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