Start Geno Smith or Aaron Rodgers? Week 6

Our Week 6 call

Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 16.2 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.8, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Geno Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Geno Smith is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 222 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (11, 12 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 232 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing yards, with a 7% chance to score a touchdown (12, 13, 4 and 13 market sources).

That puts Geno Smith 1.4 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 171 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Through Week 5, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Geno Smith.
• Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Bo Nix.
• Start Bryce Young over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Caleb Williams over Aaron Rodgers.