Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jalen Nailor? Week 6
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jalen Nailor over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Market projects
- 5.6
- recent weeks avg
- Snap share
- 48%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 4.2
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 6 call
Start Jalen Nailor over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 5.6 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 4.2, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3 and 4 (6.9 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
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What the market projects
No Week 6 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 6.9 and 4.3 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.
The market gives Jalen Nailor a 20% chance to score a touchdown (11 market sources).
Player markets imply 4.2 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 17 receiving yards and 1-2 receptions, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 13 market sources).
That puts Jalen Nailor 1.4 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.
Injury status
Jalen Nailor is listed as questionable with a concussion injury.
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 4, Jalen Nailor played 48 percent of LV snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.
Jalen Nailor, Week 1 against MIA: 41 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 2 against LAC: 38 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.
He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.
He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR45 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 1-4
- Overall rank
- 131
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 16
Ranked behind
WR · LV · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- not on the board
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- not tiered
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersnot tiered
- Board size198 draftable players
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