Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jalen Nailor in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 135th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 172nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BAL he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 56 percent of LV snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 1 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 42 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 2 of 5 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 4 of 4 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against SF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 4.0 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 38 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 91 to 53.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 263 more receiving yards than Jalen Nailor, 707 to 444.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger snap share, 56 percent against 43 percent.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Jalen Nailor in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.