Start Josh Allen or Caleb Williams? Week 6
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams
- Market projects
- 24.0
- fantasy pts
- LV D vs QB
- 21.8
- 5th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 5
- Market projects
- 17.8
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 93%
- Through Week 2
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Our Week 6 call
Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 24.0 points and Caleb Williams at 17.8, a gap of 6.2. Caleb Williams's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 24.0 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 239 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 34 rushing yards, with a 61% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 226 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (12, 13 and 12 market sources).
That puts Josh Allen 6.2 points ahead of Caleb Williams on the market projections.
Week 6 matchups
Josh Allen and BUF visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
LV allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 253 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions.
Injury status
Josh Allen is not on the injury report.
Caleb Williams is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 164 times and threw an average of 9.5 air yards per attempt.
Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.
Through Week 2, Caleb Williams played 93 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.
Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.
Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.
He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB1 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 7-0
- Overall rank
- 27
- Draft pick
- ADP 1
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB7 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs pass yds line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 72
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board45
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 5
- Board size200 draftable players
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