Josh Allen or Caleb Williams: who should I start in Week 6?

Where the draft room has them

Josh Allen goes at ADP 1, an average pick of 24.3, and the board has him QB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 37, a standard deviation of 9.0 picks.

He appears in 16 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Caleb Williams: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 23.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 1st highest figure of the 156 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 17.8 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Caleb Williams's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Josh Allen has been on the field for 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 164 times and thrown 9.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 164 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 3 against LAC he completed 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 7 times for 23 yards.

In Week 4 against NE he completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 4 yards.

In Week 5 against LAR he completed 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 10 times for 121 yards.

Through Week 2, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 93 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 70 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 1 against CAR he completed 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 10 times for 65 yards.

In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Caleb Williams 19.1, 2.9 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 that year and Caleb Williams QB5.

Caleb Williams had 108 more pass attempts than Josh Allen, 568 to 460.

Caleb Williams had 274 more passing yards than Josh Allen, 3942 to 3668.

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 93 percent.

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger target share, 1 percent against 0 percent.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Caleb Williams in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Caleb Williams is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Caleb Williams is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.