Start Luther Burden III or Josh Downs? Week 6
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Luther Burden III over Josh Downs
- Market projects
- 11.8
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 11.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 80%
- Through Week 5
- Target share
- 20%
- Through Week 5
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Our Week 6 call
Start Luther Burden III over Josh Downs in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 11.8 points and Josh Downs at 11.6, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 50 receiving yards and 4-5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (13, 10 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 11.6 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 49 receiving yards and 4-5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (10, 10 and 13 market sources).
That puts Luther Burden III 0.2 points ahead of Josh Downs on the market projections.
Injury status
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Josh Downs is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, Josh Downs played 80 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
Josh Downs, Week 2 against KC: 54 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 72 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.
Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR18 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs anytime td line 1-4
- Overall rank
- 50
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
WR19 · IND · bye 13
2026 vs anytime td line 0-5
- Overall rank
- 51
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 10
- Board size200 draftable players
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