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Trade Bijan Robinson for Puka Nacua? No, Robinson is worth 35 more.

No on value. Bijan Robinson is worth 156 rest of season and Puka Nacua 121, so giving up Robinson costs 35. Robinson rates 22.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Nacua 19.4 with 11. On usage, Robinson has 63 percent of ATL carries and 20 percent of its targets; Nacua has drawn 34 percent of LAR targets. Robinson hosts CHI in Week 6 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs); Nacua hosts ARI in Week 6 (7th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 6

Keeping Bijan Robinson wins by 35.

Bijan Robinson 156121 Puka Nacua

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Bijan Robinson

RB2ATL

156

value, #2

Pts/game
22.1
Games left
11
Bye
11
Bijan Robinson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6
21.123.421.922.3

Puka Nacua

WR3LAR

121

value, #8

Pts/game
19.4
Games left
11
Bye
11
Puka Nacua weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6
3.017.321.522.6

Where the values come from

Robinson is the 2nd running back on the chart and 2nd overall. His 22.1 a game is 14.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 156.

Nacua is the 3rd receiver on the chart and 8th overall. His 19.4 a game is 11.0 above the replacement receiver's 8.4, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 121.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Bijan Robinson at 21.1 in Week 3, 23.5 in Week 4, 21.9 in Week 5 and 22.3 in Week 6, a median of 22.1 points a game, up 1.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Puka Nacua at 3.0 in Week 3, 17.3 in Week 4, 21.5 in Week 5 and 22.6 in Week 6, a median of 19.4 points a game, up 19.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Bijan Robinson has scored 121.2 PPR points in 5 games, 24.2 a game, 2.1 a game more than the 22.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB2 with 370.8 PPR points in 17 games, 21.8 a game.

Week 1 vs PIT: 31.3 points (RB6 that week), 83 rushing yards on 21 carries, 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CAR: 11.1 points (RB20 that week), 72 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards, 51 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs GB: 35.3 points (RB2 that week), 194 rushing yards on 29 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NO: 27.7 points (RB5 that week), 145 rushing yards on 19 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns, 60 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BAL: 15.8 points (RB15 that week), 86 rushing yards on 17 carries, 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 81 percent of snaps.

Puka Nacua has scored 77.8 PPR points in 3 games, 25.9 a game, 6.5 a game more than the 19.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR1 with 375.0 PPR points in 16 games, 23.4 a game.

Week 1 vs SF: 12.4 points (WR27 that week), 5 of 9 targets for 74 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PHI: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 12 targets for 125 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs BUF: 37.7 points (WR1 that week), 9 rushing yards on 2 carries, 17 of 24 targets for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Bijan Robinson has averaged 20.4 carries for 116 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.6 catches for 30 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 61 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against BAL he had 17 carries and 7 targets on 81 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Puka Nacua has averaged 1.0 carries for 4 yards and 15.0 targets and 10.3 catches for 112 yards a game on 83 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 games.

In Week 5 against BUF he had 2 carries and 24 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Bijan Robinson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Puka Nacua has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.

CHI, Robinson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 18.4 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

ARI, Nacua's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 7th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Puka Nacua would want about 35 more added to make it even: a player like Dalton Kincaid, valued at 36. Two players for Robinson also costs that side a roster spot.

Dalton Kincaid's player page

Other trades for Bijan Robinson and Puka Nacua

The full Week 6 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Bijan Robinson for Puka Nacua?

    No on value: Bijan Robinson is worth 156 and Puka Nacua 121, a loss of 35. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Robinson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Bijan Robinson or Puka Nacua?

    Bijan Robinson, 156 to 121. He rates 22.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 19.4 over 11 for Puka Nacua, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 15, 2026 at 12:01 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number