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Justice Hill or AJ Barner: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 15, 11:41 PM ET.

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Justice Hill, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.

RB39 · BAL · bye unlisted

2026 vs rush yds line 3-2

Market-based projection
6.3 pts a game Wk 5 price
Overall rank
125
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

TE22 · SEA · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
7.1 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size226 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justice Hill: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on AJ Barner: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 126th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 5.8 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is 60 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 7.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 117th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Justice Hill has been on the field for 42 percent of BAL snaps, taken 12 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 33 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 5 times for 33 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, AJ Barner has been on the field for 89 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 3 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 3 against WAS he caught 5 of 9 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 2.1 a game between them.

Justice Hill finished RB60 and AJ Barner TE14, which are two different ladders.

Justice Hill is a running back and AJ Barner a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

What would change the answer

Justice Hill is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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