Rico Dowdle or Justice Hill: who should I start in Week 6?
Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
Week 6 verdict
Start Rico Dowdle over Justice Hill
- Market projects
- 6.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 42%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 2
- Market projects
- 5.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 42%
- Through Week 5
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 5
Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for either of them, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.
RB37 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 115
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
RB39 · BAL · bye unlisted
2026 vs rush yds line 3-2
- Market-based projection
- 6.3 pts a game Wk 5 price
- Overall rank
- 125
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
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Also deciding this week
The gap
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Board size228 draftable players
Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.
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Where the draft room stands
Drafters have formed no consensus on Rico Dowdle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 115th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Drafters have formed no consensus on Justice Hill: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 6.3 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 12 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 5.6 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is 60 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Rico Dowdle's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 2, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 42 percent of PIT snaps, taken 37 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 1 of the offence's 18 third down targets and seen 0 of its 9 two minute targets.
His 7 targets have averaged 0.9 air yards.
In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.
In Week 2 against NE he carried 7 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.
Through Week 5, Justice Hill has been on the field for 42 percent of BAL snaps, taken 12 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 3 of the offence's 33 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 35 two minute targets.
His 10 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 3 against DAL he carried 5 times for 33 yards and did not score.
In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.
In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.
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Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.
That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.
That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Rico Dowdle was available for 7 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 6.2 a game between them.
Rico Dowdle finished RB18 that year and Justice Hill RB60.
Rico Dowdle had 218 more carries than Justice Hill, 236 to 18.
Rico Dowdle had 18 more catches than Justice Hill, 39 to 21.
Their snap share this season is the same, 42 percent each.
This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 37 percent against 12 percent.
Byes and availability
Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9. No bye is listed for Justice Hill.
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