Should I start Darren Waller or Charlie Kolar in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 7.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 109th highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Charlie Kolar's market-based projection is 6.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 206 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Darren Waller: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 127th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Charlie Kolar: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 146th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 4, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 3 of 3 targets for 33 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 5 of 8 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Charlie Kolar has been on the field for 65 percent of LAC snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 6.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 2 against LV he caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Charlie Kolar played 17 games and scored 36.2 PPR points, 2.1 a game, finishing TE62.

He caught 10 of 15 targets for 142 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 0.9 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Charlie Kolar was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Darren Waller scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Charlie Kolar 2.1, 7.7 a game between them.

Darren Waller finished TE33 that year and Charlie Kolar TE62.

Darren Waller had 19 more targets than Charlie Kolar, 34 to 15.

Darren Waller had 141 more receiving yards than Charlie Kolar, 283 to 142.

This season Charlie Kolar holds the bigger snap share, 65 percent against 46 percent.

This season Darren Waller holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Darren Waller is off in Week 5 and Charlie Kolar in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Darren Waller is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.