Should I start Colby Parkinson or Noah Gray in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Colby Parkinson's market-based projection is 4.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 142nd highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

Noah Gray's market-based projection is 4.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 147th highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Colby Parkinson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 161st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Noah Gray: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 167th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Colby Parkinson has been on the field for 62 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 1 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 2.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against NYG he caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DEN he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BUF he caught 1 of 2 targets for 3 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Noah Gray has been on the field for 58 percent of KC snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 33 third down targets, had 0 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 6.4 air yards.

In Week 2 against IND he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 39 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against LV he caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Colby Parkinson played 15 games and scored 129.8 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE17.

He caught 43 of 56 targets for 408 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 20 red zone targets.

That came to 3.7 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 10 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 59 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Noah Gray played 16 games and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 2.3 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Noah Gray was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Colby Parkinson scored 8.7 PPR points a game and Noah Gray 2.4, 6.2 a game between them.

Colby Parkinson finished TE17 that year and Noah Gray TE59.

Colby Parkinson had 19 more targets than Noah Gray, 56 to 37.

Colby Parkinson had 230 more receiving yards than Noah Gray, 408 to 178.

This season Colby Parkinson holds the bigger snap share, 62 percent against 58 percent.

This season Noah Gray holds the bigger target share, 7 percent against 4 percent.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.