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Jalon Daniels or Darren Waller: who should I start in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 15, 1:46 AM ET.

Jalon Daniels's market-based projection is 8.6 points a game ahead of Darren Waller's this season, and that is the order this page leads on. Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, so there is no current draft order to give between them: the market-based projection is the live read on these two.

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QB19 · TB · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
15.5 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

TE18 · CAR · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Market-based projection
6.9 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Price difference8.6 points a game
  • Board size205 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

The market-based projections

Jalon Daniels's market-based projection is 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 161 players with a market-based projection.

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 6.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 161 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalon Daniels: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Darren Waller: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Jalon Daniels has been on the field for 68 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 71 times and thrown 6.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 71 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 9 yards.

In Week 4 against GB he completed 19 of 27 passes for 148 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 8 times for 55 yards.

In Week 5 against DAL he completed 19 of 25 passes for 189 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 25 yards.

Through Week 4, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 2 against ATL he caught 3 of 3 targets for 33 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 5 of 8 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

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Their 2025 seasons

Jalon Daniels is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Jalon Daniels is a quarterback and Darren Waller a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Darren Waller is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

8.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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