Patrick Mahomes or Deshaun Watson: who should I start in Week 6?
Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.
Updated Oct 14, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET
Week 6 verdict
Start Patrick Mahomes over Deshaun Watson
- Market projects
- 17.3
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 16.9
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 5
Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the market has not posted a whole projection for Patrick Mahomes, so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.
QB10 · KC · bye 5
2026 vs pass yds line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 81
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
QB12 · CLE · bye unlisted
2026 vs pass yds line 3-2
- Market-based projection
- 16.9 pts a game
- Draft pick
- no consensus
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The gap
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Board size202 draftable players
Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.
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Where the draft room stands
Drafters have formed no consensus on Patrick Mahomes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 81st overall on the rest of his evidence.
Drafters have formed no consensus on Deshaun Watson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 17.3 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Deshaun Watson's market-based projection is 16.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 159 players with a market-based projection.
Patrick Mahomes's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 142 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 142 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.
In Week 2 against IND he completed 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 17 yards.
In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
Through Week 5, Deshaun Watson has been on the field for 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 183 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 37 of 183 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.
In Week 3 against CAR he completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 9 times for 47 yards.
In Week 4 against PIT he completed 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 24 yards.
In Week 5 against NYJ he completed 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 6 times for 40 yards.
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Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
The season feed carries no line for Deshaun Watson in the last completed season.
Head to head
Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5. No bye is listed for Deshaun Watson.
What would change the answer
Patrick Mahomes is only part priced, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.
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