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Start Patrick Mahomes or Deshaun Watson? Week 6

Updated Oct 14, 9:11 PM ET.

Start Patrick Mahomes over Deshaun Watson

Market projects
17.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 5

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Deshaun Watson in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 17.3 points and Deshaun Watson at 16.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Patrick Mahomes's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 228 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Deshaun Watson is 201 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 29 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13, 11 and 10 market sources).

That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.3 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on the market projections.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 142 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 3 against MIA: 52 of 52 snaps, 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Through Week 5, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 183 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 3 against CAR: 69 of 70 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 47 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 4 against PIT: 64 of 64 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB10 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
81
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB12 · CLE · bye unlisted

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Overall rank
87
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board6
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size202 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board