Patrick Mahomes or Tyler Shough: who should I start in Week 3?
Both players' season price from the sportsbooks, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.
Updated Sep 24, 2026 at 10:36 PM ET
The sportsbooks price Patrick Mahomes 0.1 points a game ahead of Tyler Shough this season, and that is the order this page leads on. Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, so there is no current draft order to give between them: the books' price is the live market on these two.
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.
QB6 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs pass yds line 6-8
- Books price
- 18.3 pts a game
- Draft pick
- no consensus
QB7 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs pass td line 3-7
- Books price
- 18.3 pts a game
- Draft pick
- no consensus
The gap
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Price difference0.1 points a game
- Board size230 draftable players
Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the sportsbooks' price and nothing else.
What the sportsbooks price
The player markets price Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 10th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.
The player markets price Tyler Shough at 18.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 11th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.
Where the draft room stands
Drafters have formed no consensus on Patrick Mahomes: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.
Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Shough: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 52.
This season through Week 2
Through Week 2, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 84 times and thrown 5.3 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 84 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.
In Week 1 against DEN he completed 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 27 yards.
In Week 2 against IND he completed 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 17 yards.
Through Week 2, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 101 times and thrown 7.8 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 13 of 101 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.
In Week 1 against DET he completed 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 8 yards.
In Week 2 against BAL he completed 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 8 times for 24 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.
He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.
That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Patrick Mahomes was available for 3 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Tyler Shough 14.9, 6.3 a game between them.
Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 that year and Tyler Shough QB26.
Patrick Mahomes had 175 more pass attempts than Tyler Shough, 502 to 327.
Patrick Mahomes had 1203 more passing yards than Tyler Shough, 3587 to 2384.
Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Tyler Shough in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.
What would change the answer
0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.
The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.
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