Michael Penix Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr.: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.'s market-based projection is 7.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 110th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Kyle Pitts Sr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 98 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 83 times and thrown 6.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 83 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 5, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 55 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 1 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 6.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr. was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Kyle Pitts Sr. 12.4, 1.3 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2, which are two different ladders.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Kyle Pitts Sr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

8.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.