Start Michael Penix Jr. or Sam Darnold? Week 6
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Sam Darnold

- Market projects
- 15.3
- fantasy pts

- Market projects
- 14.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 81%
- Through Week 5
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Also deciding this week
Our Week 6 call
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Sam Darnold in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 15.3 points and Sam Darnold at 14.6, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing yards, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (9, 13, 6 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Sam Darnold, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Sam Darnold is 224 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing yards, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 13 and 12 market sources).
That puts Michael Penix Jr. 0.7 points ahead of Sam Darnold on the market projections.
Injury status
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Sam Darnold is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, Sam Darnold played 81 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 110 times and threw an average of 6.7 air yards per attempt.
Sam Darnold, Week 1 against NE: 5 of 50 snaps, 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Sam Darnold, Week 3 against WAS: 67 of 67 snaps, 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 4 against LAC: 60 of 60 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.
He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB19 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 110
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
QB23 · SEA · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 121
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board11
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 6
- Board size226 draftable players
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