Zachariah Branch or Lil'Jordan Humphrey: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Zachariah Branch's market-based projection is 3.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 139th highest figure of the 163 players with a market-based projection.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's market-based projection is 2.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 149th highest figure of the 163 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zachariah Branch: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 147th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Lil'Jordan Humphrey: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 152nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Zachariah Branch has been on the field for 22 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 0.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 2 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Lil'Jordan Humphrey has been on the field for 14 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 8.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against JAX he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he caught 1 of 2 targets for 8 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Zachariah Branch is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 10 games and scored 34.6 PPR points, 3.5 a game, finishing WR127.

He caught 13 of 25 targets for 156 yards and 1 touchdown, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2-3 targets a game, a 52 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Zachariah Branch holds the bigger snap share, 22 percent against 14 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 6 percent each.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.