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Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Pierre Strong in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 16, 9:36 PM ET.

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 8.0 points a game ahead of Pierre Strong's this season, and that is the order this page leads on. Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, so there is no current draft order to give between them: the market-based projection is the live read on these two.

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QB18 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Market-based projection
15.4 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

RB35 · GB · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
7.5 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Price difference8.0 points a game
  • Board size317 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the market price and nothing else.

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

Pierre Strong's market-based projection is 7.5 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 112th highest figure of the 199 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Pierre Strong: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 98 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 83 times and thrown 6.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 83 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 5, Pierre Strong has been on the field for 41 percent of GB snaps, taken 21 percent of the carries, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 9 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have come 4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 5 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for Pierre Strong in the last completed season.

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Side by side

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Pierre Strong a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Pierre Strong.

What would change the answer

8.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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