Start Keaton Mitchell or AJ Dillon? Week 6

Our Week 6 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over AJ Dillon in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Keaton Mitchell at 4.5 points and AJ Dillon at 2.1, a gap of 2.4. Keaton Mitchell's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for AJ Dillon this week yet, so his 2.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3 and 4 (1.6 and 2.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Keaton Mitchell is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 6 player market is posted for AJ Dillon yet. His market-based projections were 1.6 and 2.5 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 2.1, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

The market gives AJ Dillon a 11% chance to score a touchdown (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.5 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 19 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 13 market sources).

That puts Keaton Mitchell 2.4 points ahead of AJ Dillon on these projections.

Injury status

AJ Dillon is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 22 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

• Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over AJ Dillon.
• Start CJ Donaldson over AJ Dillon.
• Start Corey Kiner over AJ Dillon.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Keaton Mitchell.
• Start Blake Corum over Keaton Mitchell.
• Start Braelon Allen over Keaton Mitchell.