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Start Tyler Goodson or AJ Dillon? Week 6

Updated Oct 15, 5:11 PM ET.

Start Tyler Goodson over AJ Dillon

Market projects
2.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
14%
Through Week 5
Target share
2%
Through Week 5
Sit

AJ Dillon

RB · Questionable

Market projects
2.1
recent weeks avg
Snap share
12%
Through Week 4
Target share
1%
Through Week 4

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Tyler Goodson over AJ Dillon in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Tyler Goodson at 2.5 points and AJ Dillon at 2.1, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Goodson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for AJ Dillon this week yet, so his 2.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3 and 4 (1.6 and 2.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Tyler Goodson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 2.5 fantasy points for Tyler Goodson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Goodson is 10 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (5 and 13 market sources).

No Week 6 player market is posted for AJ Dillon yet. His market-based projections were 1.6 and 2.5 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 2.1, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

The market gives AJ Dillon a 12% chance to score a touchdown (12 market sources).

That puts Tyler Goodson 0.4 points ahead of AJ Dillon on these projections.

Injury status

Tyler Goodson is not on the injury report.

AJ Dillon is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Tyler Goodson played 14 percent of DAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Goodson, Week 3 against BAL: 11 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -5 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 4 against HOU: 16 of 78 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyler Goodson, Week 5 against TB: 3 of 60 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Goodson played 11 games for IND and scored 5.2 PPR points, 0.5 a game, finishing RB121.

He ran 9 times for 24 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 8 yards.

He was on the field for 5 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB50 · DAL · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-11

Overall rank
160
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

RB · CAR · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size218 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board