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Start Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson? Week 6

Updated Oct 14, 6:56 PM ET.

Start Lamar Jackson over Patrick Mahomes

Start

Lamar Jackson

QB · Questionable

Market projects
20.2
recent weeks avg
Snap share
88%
Through Week 4
Market projects
17.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Also deciding this week

Our Week 6 call

Start Lamar Jackson over Patrick Mahomes in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Lamar Jackson at 20.2 points and Patrick Mahomes at 17.3, a gap of 2.9. Patrick Mahomes's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Lamar Jackson this week yet, so his 20.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 3 and 4 (21.4 and 19.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

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What the market projects

No Week 6 player market is posted for Lamar Jackson yet. His market-based projections were 21.4 and 19.0 points in Weeks 3 and 4, an average of 20.2, which stands in until his Week 6 market posts.

Player markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 228 passing yards and 1-2 passing touchdowns, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 13 market sources).

That puts Lamar Jackson 2.9 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on these projections.

Injury status

Lamar Jackson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 4, Lamar Jackson played 88 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 10.4 air yards per attempt.

Lamar Jackson, Week 1 against IND: 68 of 68 snaps, 17 of 24 passes for 324 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 43 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 2 against NO: 58 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 34 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 3 against DAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 50 yards.

Lamar Jackson, Week 4 against TEN: 33 of 64 snaps, 15 of 20 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 142 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 1 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 3 against MIA: 52 of 52 snaps, 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

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Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Lamar Jackson played 13 games for BAL and scored 221.9 PPR points, 17.1 a game, finishing QB20.

He completed 192 of 302 passes for 2549 yards, 21 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 67 times for 349 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 92 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB11 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
83
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB28 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
159
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board76
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 8
  • Board size200 draftable players

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Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board