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Should I start Dak Prescott or A.J. Brown in Week 6?

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Oct 18, 12:31 PM ET.

Start Dak Prescott: his market-based projection is 6.4 points a game ahead of A.J. Brown's this season.

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QB6 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs pass yds line 4-1

Market-based projection
18.2 pts a game
Draft pick
no draft data

WR23 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 6-9

Market-based projection
11.8 pts a game
Draft pick
no draft data

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Also deciding this week

The gap

  • Draft positionno current draft data for both
  • Price difference6.4 points a game
  • Board size329 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Dak Prescott's market-based projection is 18.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 13th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dak Prescott, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Dak Prescott has been on the field for 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 209 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 30 of 209 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 3 against BAL he completed 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he completed 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 7 yards.

In Week 5 against TB he completed 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 11 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dak Prescott played 17 games and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He threw for 4552 yards on 600 attempts with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 35.3 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Dak Prescott scored 19.0 PPR points a game and A.J. Brown 14.7, 4.4 a game between them.

Dak Prescott finished QB6 and A.J. Brown WR11, which are two different ladders.

Dak Prescott is a quarterback and A.J. Brown a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Dak Prescott is off in Week 14 and A.J. Brown in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

6.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

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Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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