Should I start A.J. Brown or DK Metcalf in Week 6?

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

DK Metcalf's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 73rd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DK Metcalf, and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 11 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, DK Metcalf has been on the field for 95 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 13.8 air yards.

In Week 3 against CIN he caught 3 of 5 targets for 31 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 5 of 9 targets for 115 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DK Metcalf played 15 games and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.

He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 15 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and DK Metcalf 12.5, 2.2 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and DK Metcalf WR26.

A.J. Brown had 22 more targets than DK Metcalf, 121 to 99.

A.J. Brown had 153 more receiving yards than DK Metcalf, 1003 to 850.

This season DK Metcalf holds the bigger snap share, 95 percent against 44 percent.

This season DK Metcalf holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and DK Metcalf in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.